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Bakery Profit Drop

Case Interview Practice > 
Exhibit Analysis

We’ve pulled some basic financials for the last two quarters. Based on this exhibit, what’s driving the profit decline?

Case Exhibit

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Sample answer from an expert consultant

Key Insight #1:
Revenue declined from $25M to $24M, despite growing from 50 to 55 stores.
→ This implies a drop in revenue per store, likely due to lower foot traffic, lower ticket sizes, or regional underperformance in new locations.

Key Insight #2:
Ingredient costs increased from $7M to $8.5M — a 21% jump, while packaging stayed flat.
→ Suggests rising input prices or internal waste, as the increase is not explained by growth alone (only 10% more stores).

Key Insight #3:
All other costs (labor, rent, other ops) are flat — meaning the drop in profit is mainly due to:

  • Revenue decline per store
  • Ingredient cost inflation

Conclusion:
The profit drop is being driven by a decline in productivity per store and rising ingredient costs, while other cost categories remained stable.

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